Opportunity Information: Apply for NOIP17AC01333
This National Park Service cooperative agreement opportunity focuses on understanding and predicting how Isle Royale National Park's inland boreal lakes will respond to climate change. The core idea is that climate-driven shifts in lake thermal structure, especially whether and how strongly a lake stratifies during the summer, can trigger ecological changes that show up at the base of the food web as shifts in algal communities. Because these lakes support valued park resources and experiences (fish and waterfowl habitat, including loons, plus fishing, swimming, boating, and backcountry camping), the park has identified inland lake monitoring as a high priority in its Water Resources Management Plan and broader stewardship responsibilities as an International Biosphere Reserve.
The project is built around linking a physical driver to an ecological response. On the physical side, the work uses lake thermal modeling to estimate patterns of stratification and related conditions like dissolved oxygen, drawing on meteorological data and lake characteristics. Prior research in the region shows that lake geometry, especially maximum depth and surface area, strongly influences whether a lake stratifies, and modern lake models can reproduce thermal structure well enough that "hindcasting" is possible using historical weather records. On the ecological side, the work measures long-term change in algal communities by analyzing lake sediment records, which preserve evidence of past algal composition and allow the team to reconstruct how communities have changed over roughly the last century.
The study design targets eight Isle Royale lake ecosystems selected to represent a gradient in size, depth, and surface area so the team can compare systems that are more or less prone to stratification. It combines three main lines of evidence: contemporary limnological monitoring (present-day measurements that characterize current conditions), ecosystem and thermal modeling (to estimate stratification history and dynamics), and paleolimnological sediment analyses (to infer historical algal community change). By integrating these approaches, the project aims to move beyond a single-lake case study and instead produce a comparative, semi-empirical framework that ranks lakes by likely sensitivity to future climate-driven change.
The specific objectives are threefold. First, the project will evaluate how modeled changes in stratification over the past 100 years align with changes in algal communities recorded in sediments, effectively testing whether physical shifts in thermal structure are associated with biological responses over long time scales. Second, it will quantify the magnitude of algal community change in each lake and explicitly compare those changes between lakes that stratify and lakes that do not (or that stratify differently), helping clarify whether stratification status is a useful divider for interpreting vulnerability. Third, it will develop a predictive relationship that uses easily measured lake geometry as a practical proxy for stratification behavior and, in turn, ecological sensitivity to climate change. The intent is to turn basic lake metrics into a management-ready tool that can guide monitoring priorities, communication with visitors, and future protection strategies.
The expected management outcomes are concrete and geared toward park decision-making. The deliverables are meant to provide (1) a tool to identify which lakes are at greatest risk or most sensitive to climate-driven shifts, (2) guidance on how to modify and target existing monitoring protocols, including improving the ability to predict and detect harmful algal blooms (HABs), and (3) supporting background data that can feed into water quality assessments, fisheries management decisions, and visitor safety considerations in the backcountry. A key operational implication is that if a lake is classified as climatically sensitive, the Great Lakes Network Inventory and Monitoring Program approach would be adjusted to increase the frequency of monitoring for chemical parameters and thermal structure, improving early warning and trend detection.
Administratively, the opportunity is a mandatory, single-award cooperative agreement administered by the Department of the Interior, National Park Service, under CFDA 15.944. The funding opportunity number is NOIP17AC01333, with an award ceiling of $150,000 and one expected award. The opportunity was created July 26, 2017, with an original closing date of August 11, 2017, and eligibility listed under "Others" as further defined in the full announcement.Apply for NOIP17AC01333
- The Department of the Interior, National Park Service in the other (see text field entitled explanation of other category of funding activity for clarification) sector is offering a public funding opportunity titled "Predicting the Sensitivity of Boreal Lakes to Climate Change - Isle Royale National Park" and is now available to receive applicants.
- Interested and eligible applicants and submit their applications by referencing the CFDA number(s): 15.944.
- This funding opportunity was created on Jul 26, 2017.
- Applicants must submit their applications by Aug 11, 2017. (Agency may still review applications by suitable applicants for the remaining/unused allocated funding in 2026.)
- Each selected applicant is eligible to receive up to $150,000.00 in funding.
- The number of recipients for this funding is limited to 1 candidate(s).
- Eligible applicants include: Others (see text field entitled Additional Information on Eligibility for clarification).
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